
The Iran war is "testing the resilience of the global economy," and is set to dampen economic growth this year, the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) said in a report released on Thursday.
Global growth is forecast to slow to 2.9% this year before edging back up to 3.0% in 2027, according to the OECD.
The unpredictable trajectory of the Middle East conflict was driving up costs and dampening demand, offsetting the positive impetus from investment in new technologies and the momentum carried over from the previous year, it said.
The blockade of the Strait of Hormuz and damage to energy infrastructure had caused a sharp rise in energy prices and disrupted supplies of other key materials such as fertilizer, according to the OECD.
The scale and duration of the conflict were highly uncertain, but a prolonged period of higher energy prices would significantly increase costs for businesses and consumer prices, with negative consequences for growth, the OECD said.
The "evolving conflict [...] generates significant uncertainty around global demand," it said.
In the US, growth is expected to slow from 2.0% this year to 1.7% next year, the OECD forecast, as strong investment in artificial intelligence is gradually offset by a slowdown in income growth and consumer spending.
In the eurozone, the OECD expects growth to slow to 0.8% this year before recovering to 1.2% in 2027, boosted by higher defence spending.
In China, growth is projected to fall to 4.4% in 2026 and 4.3% in 2027.
The conflict was also weighing on the growth of the German economy, which the OECD said would grow by only 0.8% this year - 0.2 percentage points less than forecast in its previous economic outlook in December.
Growth of 1.5% is still expected for 2027, unchanged from the previous forecast.
LATEST POSTS
- 1
Why do people get headaches and migraines? A child neurologist explains the science of head pain and how to treat it - 2
How much should a kid's birthday party cost? One mom spent $190 for pizza and ice cream at a park. Another paid $2K for a playspace and goodie bags. - 3
5 Christmas movies to stream for less with this Paramount+ Black Friday deal - 4
Politics at the table? Drinking the wine you brought? An etiquette expert's Thanksgiving dos and don'ts. - 5
Phenomenal Web-based MBA Stages for Proficient Headway
Select Your Cherished Fish
Figure out How to Explore Land Close to 5G Pinnacles
They died 'doing what they loved': The stories of workers in their 80s who died on the job
My Excursion to Monetary Autonomy: Awesome ways to save cash
Vote In favor of Your Favored Keeping an eye on
First Phosphate advances battery-grade phosphate project as analysts highlight strategic Federal support
An Excursion Through Renowned Western Network programs
Figure out How to Put resources into Lab Precious stones
Building Tough Connections: Individual Bits of knowledge on Association













